Tonight is a huge night in Democratic politics. CNN is hosting the first 2016 Democratic presidential debate, and there’s a chance that we will finally, after all these long months, get a glimpse of a phenomenon that has been long-rumored to exist, but has never actually been observed: O’Malleymentum. Former Maryland governor Martin O’Malley has been campaigning like a maniac and going on television and releasing all manner of policy papers, and as a reward for his dogged efforts he’s currently polling at around 1 percent nationally – down from his all-time high of 1.7 percent in April.