Do States Have 'house Effects' When It Comes To Polling?

President Obama greets the crowd in Las Vegas, Nevada, on Sept. 30, 2012. In late November, the sage of the Sagebrush, Nevada, journalist Jon Ralston, uncovered a fascinating post by UNLV political science professor David Damore. The subject was one that has been often discussed both here and elsewhere: Why are pollsters always getting Nevada wrong? For those with short memories, in 2008, polls showed Barack Obama with a slight lead in Nevada.

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