There are interesting disagreements between FiveThirtyEight's 2012 presidential projections and the projections made by other forecasts.

Topics:  fivethirtyeight   forecasts   disagree   projections   
  • FiveThirtyEight’s ‘Whiz Kid’ Harry Enten represents the new generation of political journalist
    He began his journalism career by selling a statistic that forecasts a ballplayer’s future performance ... which takes its name from the total number of electors in the US electoral college. After Silver’s model nailed all 50 states in the 2012 Obama ...
    10/5/2016 - 8:16 am | View Link
  • 'FiveThirtyEight' Statistician Nate Silver Reports On The 2016 Election
    aggregates polls and forecasts outcomes. In 2008, he correctly called all 35 Senate races and the winners of the presidential contests in 49 of 50 states. The site's title, FiveThirtyEight, is a reference to the number of votes in the Electoral College.
    02/11/2016 - 5:37 am | View Link
  • FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast: Toss-Up or Tilt GOP?
    You’ll no doubt notice the decimal place; how can a party win a fraction of a Senate seat? It can’t, but our forecasts are probabilistic; a gain of 5.8 seats is the total you get by summing the probabilities from each individual race. Because 5.8 seats ...
    06/8/2014 - 1:00 pm | View Link
  • Philip Maddocks: GOP vows to make FiveThirtyEight blog irrelevant by adding Electoral College votes
    The FiveThiryEight - the blog run by Nate Silver for the New York Times that provides forecasts of upcoming ... bargain in which they might agree to raise taxes on the wealthiest Americans in return for three more Electoral College votes.
    11/8/2012 - 11:01 pm | View Link
  • What’s FiveThirtyEight Good For?: The Inevitable Nate Silver Backlash
    This didn’t sit well with the pundit class, who mocked Silver in ways that made them look like a pack of ignorant yokels when Silver’s projected electoral map almost ... polling– the two will necessarily agree the vast majority of the time, and ...
    11/8/2012 - 4:20 am | View Link
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    The United Kingdom general election of 2017 is scheduled to take place on 8 June 2017. Each of the 650 parliamentary constituencies will elect one Member of ...
    05/23/2017 - 10:15 am | View Website
  • Exit poll
    An election exit poll is a poll of voters taken immediately after they have exited the polling stations. Unlike an opinion poll, which asks for whom the voter plans ...
    05/21/2017 - 2:18 am | View Website
  • 2016 Presidential Election Forecast Maps
    FiveThirtyEight Polls-Plus Forecast. Updated hourly, this is an electoral map derived from the polls-plus forecast from FiveThirtyEight. This is defined as "what ...
    05/19/2017 - 9:11 pm | View Website
  • The Real Story Of 2016 | FiveThirtyEight
    The Real Story Of 2016 By Nate Silver Jan 19; The Electoral College Blind Spot By Nate Silver Jan 23; It Wasn’t Clinton’s Election To Lose By Nate Silver Jan 23
    01/19/2017 - 6:48 am | View Website
  • Pollsters struggle to explain failures of US presidential ...
    What went wrong? That’s the question that many political pollsters in the United States are asking themselves in the aftermath of the 8 November presidential ...
    11/8/2016 - 6:58 pm | View Website
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