There are interesting disagreements between FiveThirtyEight's 2012 presidential projections and the projections made by other forecasts.

Topics:  fivethirtyeight   forecasts   disagree   projections   
  • The New York Times
    In theory, state polls and national polls must ultimately agree with each other ... President Obama’s chances of winning the Electoral College fell slightly in Monday’s forecast, to 66.8 percent from 68.0 percent on Saturday. Part of the reason ...
    07/12/2013 - 1:00 pm | View Link
  • What’s FiveThirtyEight Good For?: The Inevitable Nate Silver Backlash
    This didn’t sit well with the pundit class, who mocked Silver in ways that made them look like a pack of ignorant yokels when Silver’s projected electoral map almost ... polling– the two will necessarily agree the vast majority of the time, and ...
    11/8/2012 - 4:20 am | View Link
  • A ‘Radical Centrist’ View on Election Forecasting
    His article takes the view that campaign strategy and other intangibles are quite important in presidential campaigns and that statistical forecasts do a poor job ... The irony is that I agree with Mr. Klain more than he realizes. But let’s start with ...
    11/15/2011 - 11:00 am | View Link
  • FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver adjusts to New York Times, 6 months after joining the newsroom
    Silver has faced some unexpected challenges — namely learning to adjust to the Times’ standards even when he doesn’t agree with them ... about whether “Dancing with the Stars” needs electoral reform. Prior to the partnership — which is ...
    06/3/2011 - 7:29 am | View Link
  • More
  • FiveThirtyEight
    FiveThirtyEight is a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. Sometimes referred to as 538, the website takes its name from the number ...
    08/27/2015 - 6:27 am | View Website
  • FiveThirtyEight
    Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about politics, sports, science, economics and lifestyle.
    08/27/2015 - 3:28 am | View Website
  • Election Forecasts
    FiveThirtyEight is devoted to rigorous analysis of politics, polling, public affairs, sports, science and culture, largely through statistical means.
    08/26/2015 - 2:03 am | View Website
  • 2014 Senate Forecast | FiveThirtyEight
    FiveThirtyEight’s election forecasting model combines hundreds of opinion polls with historical and demographic information to calculate odds for each Senate ra…
    10/13/2014 - 5:38 pm | View Website
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