There are interesting disagreements between FiveThirtyEight's 2012 presidential projections and the projections made by other forecasts.

Topics:  fivethirtyeight   forecasts   disagree   projections   
  • US election day: statistician bloggers give Barack Obama a clear lead
    While both sides agree that cutting the deficit is a primary ... on his New York Times-affiliated blog, FiveThirtyEight (the total number of US electoral votes, whereby a majority of 270 wins the election). In 2008, Silver accurately predicted 49 out ...
    10/3/2014 - 1:00 pm | View Link
  • What’s FiveThirtyEight Good For?: The Inevitable Nate Silver Backlash
    If you’ve somehow missed the whole thing, Jennifer Ouellette offers an excellent summary of the FiveThirtyEight saga ... look like a pack of ignorant yokels when Silver’s projected electoral map almost perfectly matched the final results.
    11/8/2012 - 4:20 am | View Link
  • Election Day Colorado 2012: Final Polls, Voting Locations And Live Updates On Obama, Romney And Races Around The Country
    Although Obama leads by nearly two-points in the state, the Pollster model still calls the state a "tossup" for either candidate: However, Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight forecasts ... agree on his blog, saying Arapahoe County will be one to watch: Colorado ...
    11/6/2012 - 3:09 am | View Link
  • Nate Silver's Braying Idiot Detractors Show That Being Ignorant About Politics Is Like Being Ignorant About Sports
    He began blogging about the presidential race, and eventually started his own site, FiveThirtyEight ... the way he forecasts the election. On September 30, leading into the debates, Silver gave Obama an 85 percent chance and predicted an Electoral College ...
    11/1/2012 - 6:15 am | View Link
  • Electoral college means ‘Obama has edge’
    InTrade, the betting website, gives Mr Obama a 63 per cent chance of winning while Nate Silver, the electoral statistician who writes the FiveThirtyEight blog for The New York Times, gives Mr Obama a 74.6 per cent chance of victory. He forecasts that the ...
    10/29/2012 - 6:55 am | View Link
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  • Election Forecasts
    Archives of Nate Silver's statistic-based political analysis and election forecasts using his own prediction models.
    06/3/2015 - 2:46 am | View Website
  • 2014 Senate Forecast | FiveThirtyEight
    FiveThirtyEight’s election forecasting model combines hundreds of opinion polls with historical and demographic information to calculate odds for each Senate race.
    06/2/2015 - 9:24 pm | View Website
  • Princeton Election Consortium — A first draft of electoral ...
    Tweet In today’s dustup between FiveThirtyEight and Vox, the press is missing the point. This is often the case, since most reporters understand mud-throwing better ...
    06/2/2015 - 7:15 pm | View Website
  • FiveThirtyEight
    Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about politics, sports, science, economics and lifestyle.
    06/1/2015 - 5:36 pm | View Website
  • United Kingdom general election, 2015
    The United Kingdom general election of 2015 was held on 7 May 2015 to elect the 56th Parliament of the United Kingdom. Voting took place in all 650 parliamentary ...
    06/1/2015 - 11:24 am | View Website
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