Fivethirtyeight: Where Electoral Forecasts Agree And Disagree

There are interesting disagreements between FiveThirtyEight's 2012 presidential projections and the projections made by other forecasts.

Topics:  fivethirtyeight   forecasts   disagree   projections   
BING NEWS:
  • FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast: Toss-Up or Tilt GOP?
    You’ll no doubt notice the decimal place; how can a party win a fraction of a Senate seat? It can’t, but our forecasts are probabilistic; a gain of 5.8 seats is the total you get by summing the probabilities from each individual race. Because 5.8 seats ...
    06/9/2014 - 6:15 am | View Link
  • Philip Maddocks: GOP vows to make FiveThirtyEight blog irrelevant by adding Electoral College votes
    The FiveThiryEight - the blog run by Nate Silver for the New York Times that provides forecasts of upcoming ... bargain in which they might agree to raise taxes on the wealthiest Americans in return for three more Electoral College votes.
    11/9/2012 - 6:24 pm | View Link
  • What’s FiveThirtyEight Good For?: The Inevitable Nate Silver Backlash
    This didn’t sit well with the pundit class, who mocked Silver in ways that made them look like a pack of ignorant yokels when Silver’s projected electoral map almost ... polling– the two will necessarily agree the vast majority of the time, and ...
    11/8/2012 - 4:20 am | View Link
  • Where Electoral Forecasts Agree and Disagree
    FiveThirtyEight’s initial 2012 presidential forecast found President Obama as a slight favorite to win re-election. These projections are unique, both in means and ends, but the FiveThirtyEight model is operating in a crowded field. Although each map ...
    06/9/2012 - 1:00 pm | View Link
  • FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver adjusts to New York Times, 6 months after joining the newsroom
    Silver has faced some unexpected challenges — namely learning to adjust to the Times’ standards even when he doesn’t agree with them ... about whether “Dancing with the Stars” needs electoral reform. Prior to the partnership — which is ...
    02/21/2011 - 8:53 am | View Link
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BING SEARCH:
  • Election Forecasts
    Archives of Nate Silver's statistic-based political analysis and election forecasts using his own prediction models.
    11/26/2014 - 11:52 pm | View Website
  • Nate Silver
    FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver's newly launched website at ESPN, uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about politics, science ...
    11/26/2014 - 10:48 pm | View Website
  • FiveThirtyEight
    FiveThirtyEight is a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. Sometimes referred to as 538, the website takes its name from the number ...
    11/26/2014 - 9:08 pm | View Website
  • 2014 Election Forecast Roundup
    On November 4, 2014, Americans will go to the polls for this year’s midterm elections. Here’s Vox’s roundup of the most recent predictions from leading election ...
    11/26/2014 - 4:26 am | View Website
  • FiveThirtyEight’s Senate Forecast | FiveThirtyEight
    FiveThirtyEight’s election forecasting model combines hundreds of opinion polls with historical and demographic information to calculate odds for each Senate race.
    10/13/2014 - 5:38 pm | View Website
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