There are interesting disagreements between FiveThirtyEight's 2012 presidential projections and the projections made by other forecasts.

Topics:  fivethirtyeight   forecasts   disagree   projections   
  • The polls and (most of) the forecasts are wrong. Ed Miliband will ... - Open Democracy
    ... the most successful electoral force ... which Silver and fivethirtyeight ... The former two are forecasts, with ... to give way on for ...
    05/5/2015 - 8:42 am | View Link
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  • general election: Game of seats as forecasters disagree on tally
    As the UK political system has fragmented, electoral forecasts have taken on new significance. They allow us to crunch bewildering amounts of data and gauge what kind of government will emerge after the general election in May. While forecasters agree a ...
    05/2/2015 - 10:40 pm | View Link
  • Enten ’11 to join FiveThirtyEight blog
    His passion for statistical analysis, whether used in weather forecasting or political commentary, was nourished at the College and will inform his work as the lead writer for politics on Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight. FiveThirtyEight was formerly a blog ...
    11/17/2013 - 11:00 am | View Link
  • Philip Maddocks: GOP vows to make FiveThirtyEight blog irrelevant by adding Electoral College votes
    The FiveThiryEight - the blog run by Nate Silver for the New York Times that provides forecasts of upcoming ... “But I think if we change the number of Electoral College votes, it will help people see the FiveThirtyEight for the fraud that it is.”
    11/8/2012 - 11:00 am | View Link
  • What’s FiveThirtyEight Good For?: The Inevitable Nate Silver Backlash
    If you’ve somehow missed the whole thing, Jennifer Ouellette offers an excellent summary of the FiveThirtyEight saga ... look like a pack of ignorant yokels when Silver’s projected electoral map almost perfectly matched the final results.
    11/8/2012 - 4:20 am | View Link
  • US election day: statistician bloggers give Barack Obama a clear lead
    While both sides agree that cutting the deficit is a primary ... on his New York Times-affiliated blog, FiveThirtyEight (the total number of US electoral votes, whereby a majority of 270 wins the election). In 2008, Silver accurately predicted 49 out ...
    11/6/2012 - 12:35 am | View Link
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  • FiveThirtyEight
    Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about politics, sports, science, economics and lifestyle.
    05/5/2015 - 7:48 pm | View Website
  • 2014 Senate Forecast | FiveThirtyEight
    FiveThirtyEight’s election forecasting model combines hundreds of opinion polls with historical and demographic information to calculate odds for each Senate race.
    05/5/2015 - 3:30 pm | View Website
  • Election Forecasts
    Archives of Nate Silver's statistic-based political analysis and election forecasts using his own prediction models.
    05/4/2015 - 1:20 am | View Website
  • 2014 Election Forecast Roundup
    On November 4, 2014, Americans will go to the polls for this year’s midterm elections. Here’s Vox’s roundup of the most recent predictions from leading election ...
    05/3/2015 - 5:06 pm | View Website
  • Nate Silver’s Tournament Forecast
    Need help with your N.C.A.A. bracket? Nate Silver is estimating each team’s chance of advancing to any given stage of the N.C.A.A. bracket. View his ...
    05/2/2015 - 11:48 pm | View Website
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