There are interesting disagreements between FiveThirtyEight's 2012 presidential projections and the projections made by other forecasts.

Topics:  fivethirtyeight   forecasts   disagree   projections   
  • Enten ’11 to join FiveThirtyEight blog
    His passion for statistical analysis, whether used in weather forecasting or political commentary, was nourished at the College and will inform his work as the lead writer for politics on Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight. FiveThirtyEight was formerly a blog ...
    11/17/2013 - 11:00 am | View Link
  • Nate Silver: It’s the numbers, stupid
    The “we” is his blog,FiveThirtyEight (named after the 538 electoral college votes), which he set up in ... But then Silver is the first to agree. He’s not even the only one doing it. Others had equally good results. At its heart, it’s absolutely ...
    11/17/2012 - 8:02 am | View Link
  • What’s FiveThirtyEight Good For?: The Inevitable Nate Silver Backlash
    If you’ve somehow missed the whole thing, Jennifer Ouellette offers an excellent summary of the FiveThirtyEight saga ... look like a pack of ignorant yokels when Silver’s projected electoral map almost perfectly matched the final results.
    11/8/2012 - 4:20 am | View Link
  • Election Day Colorado 2012: Final Polls, Voting Locations And Live Updates On Obama, Romney And Races Around The Country
    Although Obama leads by nearly two-points in the state, the Pollster model still calls the state a "tossup" for either candidate: However, Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight forecasts ... agree on his blog, saying Arapahoe County will be one to watch: Colorado ...
    11/6/2012 - 3:09 am | View Link
  • Electoral college means ‘Obama has edge’
    InTrade, the betting website, gives Mr Obama a 63 per cent chance of winning while Nate Silver, the electoral statistician who writes the FiveThirtyEight blog for The New York Times, gives Mr Obama a 74.6 per cent chance of victory. He forecasts that the ...
    10/29/2012 - 6:55 am | View Link
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  • FiveThirtyEight
    Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about politics, sports, science, economics and lifestyle.
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    FiveThirtyEight’s election forecasting model combines hundreds of opinion polls with historical and demographic information to calculate odds for each Senate race.
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    The Bradley effect (less commonly the Wilder effect) is a theory concerning observed discrepancies between voter opinion polls and election outcomes in some United ...
    06/29/2015 - 4:38 am | View Website
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    Archives of Nate Silver's statistic-based political analysis and election forecasts using his own prediction models.
    06/28/2015 - 4:47 am | View Website
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    FiveThirtyEight is a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. Sometimes referred to as 538, the website takes its name from the number ...
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