FiveThirtyEight: Politics
- Can Trump Use Hard-Line Immigration Policies To Turn Out GOP Voters?
Wednesday - 06/20/2018 - 06:00 AMWelcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited.
micah (Micah Cohen, politics editor): Hi, everyone!!! Ready to chat?
More | Talk | Read It Later | Share - An Updated Look At The Race For The Senate
Friday - 06/22/2018 - 05:53 AMWelcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup.
More | Talk | Read It Later | Share - Four Key Questions Today’s Primaries Will Help Answer
Tuesday - 06/26/2018 - 05:38 AMJuly will be an election desert, so let’s enjoy the primaries while they last, shall we?
More | Talk | Read It Later | Share - What Are These Civility Arguments Really About?
Wednesday - 06/27/2018 - 08:45 AMWelcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited.
micah (Micah Cohen, politics editor): Hello! You all ready for some chatting!?!?!?
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natesilver (Nate Silver, editor in chief): I’m ready for the pizza we ordered to arrive, but am happy to chat in the meantime. - John Roberts Will Probably Be The Supreme Court’s Next Swing Justice
Wednesday - 06/27/2018 - 07:39 PMJustice Anthony Kennedy
More | Talk | Read It Later | Share - Kennedy’s Retirement Puts Moderate Democrats In A Bind
Thursday - 06/28/2018 - 11:08 AMJustice Anthony Kennedy’s retirement just made the midterm elections even more contentious than they already were.
More | Talk | Read It Later | Share - The Democrat Is Up Big In Arizona’s Senate Race — For Now
Friday - 06/29/2018 - 05:58 AMWelcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup.
Poll of the week
Holding onto all of their U.S. Senate seats in red states would all be for naught for Democrats if they don’t net the two pickups they need to take control of the chamber.More | Talk | Read It Later | Share - Everyone Is Vulnerable To Conflicts Of Interest. Including Donald Trump.
Friday - 01/06/2017 - 06:30 AM“The president can’t have a conflict of interest,” Donald Trump told The New York Times in November.
More | Talk | Read It Later | Share - Do Voters Care About Ethics?
Tuesday - 01/03/2017 - 03:43 PMIn this week’s politics chat, we try to make sense of the aborted effort by House Republicans to weaken the Office of Congressional Ethics. The transcript below has been lightly edited.micah (Micah Cohen, politics editor): Welcome to the first politics chat of 2017, everyone!More | Talk | Read It Later | Share
- Politics Podcast: Data Under Trump
Monday - 01/02/2017 - 04:36 PM
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- Spying Doesn’t Pay — Unless You’re Really Good At It
Thursday - 06/21/2018 - 02:38 PMEarlier this month, the Justice Department announced the arrest of Ron Hansen, a former Defense Intelligence Agency officer. Hansen is accused of receiving at least $800,000 from Chinese sources in exchange for information he learned from “military and intelligence conferences in the U.S.” and for sensitive technology that the U.S.More | Talk | Read It Later | Share
- Why The Republican Party Elects So Few Women
Monday - 06/25/2018 - 05:45 AMGraphics by Julia Wolfe and Gus Wezerek
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Quantitative analysis by Mai Nguyen - The U.S. Border Is Just One Of The Places Where Central Americans Seek Refuge
Tuesday - 06/26/2018 - 12:54 PMThe U.S. isn’t the only place where Central American immigrants are seeking refuge.
More | Talk | Read It Later | Share - Which Justices Were BFFs This Supreme Court Term
Wednesday - 06/27/2018 - 11:37 AMThe regularly scheduled business of the Supreme Court term came to a close on Wednesday, and the nine justices will soon take off their robes and head out on their summer vacations.
More | Talk | Read It Later | Share - Will Kennedy’s Retirement Help Republicans At The Midterms?
Thursday - 06/28/2018 - 07:15 AMThe most important effects stemming from Justice Anthony Kennedy’s retirement will be on how the Supreme Court rules on landmark cases on issues ranging from abortion to gerrymandering.
More | Talk | Read It Later | Share - Here Are All The Politics Polls We’ve Been Collecting For 2018
Thursday - 06/28/2018 - 03:15 PMPUBLISHED JUN. 28, 2018 AT 3:00 PM
Latest Polls
Updated throughout the day.
POLL TYPE
All polls
Governor
U.S. House
U.S. Senate
Presidential approval
Generic ballot
STATE
All Ala. Alaska Ariz.More | Talk | Read It Later | Share - Stop Saying Trump’s Win Had Nothing To Do With Economics
Monday - 01/09/2017 - 05:00 AMThis is In Real Terms, a regular column analyzing the latest economic news. Comments? Criticisms? Ideas for future columns? Email me, or drop a note in the comments.
More | Talk | Read It Later | Share - Registered Voters Who Stayed Home Probably Cost Clinton The Election
Thursday - 01/05/2017 - 06:30 AMRegistered voters who didn’t vote on Election Day in November were more Democratic-leaning than the registered voters who turned out, according to a post-election poll from SurveyMonkey, shared with FiveThirtyEight.More | Talk | Read It Later | Share
- What Harry Got Wrong In 2016
Tuesday - 01/03/2017 - 06:00 AMIt’s time once again to look back on what I screwed up in the past year — there’s really no better way to start the new year than going over your biggest mistakes from the old one.More | Talk | Read It Later | Share
- Some Of Our Best Work From 2016
Friday - 12/30/2016 - 07:00 AMAs we hurtle toward 2017, the FiveThirtyEight staff has been thinking about our favorite articles, podcasts and videos from the past year. This isn’t a comprehensive list, but here are some gems that you might have missed — or that we think are worth another look or listen.
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- Why Rank-And-File Evangelicals Aren’t Likely To Turn On Trump Over Family Separation
Thursday - 06/21/2018 - 10:47 AMOver the past few weeks, religious leaders have emerged as some of the strongest critics of President Trump’s “zero-tolerance” immigration policy that has resulted in the separation of children from their parent
More | Talk | Read It Later | Share - Politics Podcast: Trump Won’t Stop Talking About Immigration
Monday - 06/25/2018 - 04:53 PM
More | Talk | Read It Later | Share - Democrats Are Wrong About Republicans. Republicans Are Wrong About Democrats.
Tuesday - 06/26/2018 - 09:00 AMWelcome to Secret Identity, our regular column on identity and its role in politics and policy.
The defining divide in American politics is probably between Republicans and Democrats. It encapsulates all our other divides — by race, education, religion and more — and it’s growing.
More | Talk | Read It Later | Share - Emergency Politics Podcast: Trump’s Chance To Reshape The Supreme Court
Wednesday - 06/27/2018 - 06:05 PM
More | Talk | Read It Later | Share - Will Any Republicans Vote Against Trump’s Eventual Supreme Court Pick?
Thursday - 06/28/2018 - 05:39 AMBecause Republicans in the U.S. Senate changed the rules last year to prevent the filibuster of a Supreme Court nomination, President Trump can basically appoint anyone he wants to replace Justice Anthony Kennedy, who announced his retirement on Wednesday — Trump doesn’t need a single Democratic yea vote to reach a majority.More | Talk | Read It Later | Share
- Politics Podcast: What Does Ocasio-Cortez’s Win Tell Us About The Democratic Party?
Thursday - 06/28/2018 - 04:52 PM
More | Talk | Read It Later | Share - Saturday’s Special Election In Texas Could Be A Good Sign For The GOP … Or Not
Sunday - 07/01/2018 - 05:01 AMSaturday’s special election in Texas’s 27th Congressional District was unusual in several ways.
More | Talk | Read It Later | Share - Fact-Checking Won’t Save Us From Fake News
Wednesday - 01/04/2017 - 07:00 AMFake news.We’ve used this phrase so many times in the past two months that it’s almost lost meaning — partly because it can mean so many different things. Depending on who you talk to, “fake news” may refer to satirical news, hoaxes, news that’s clumsily framed or outright wrong, propaganda, lies destined for viral clicks and advertising dollars, politically motivated half-truths, and more.
More | Talk | Read It Later | Share - As Obamacare Faces Repeal, Its Legacy Is Still Up In The Air
Tuesday - 01/03/2017 - 09:00 AMWhen President Obama took office in 2009, the U.S. was in trouble — 50.7 million people were uninsured, the largest number in history. Mortality rates were on the rise, even as health care spending grew faster than the nation’s economy.More | Talk | Read It Later | Share
- The Best And Worst Data Stories Of 2016
Thursday - 12/29/2016 - 07:00 AMIt’s time once again to dole out FiveThirtyEight’s Data Awards, our annual (OK, we’ve done it once before) chance to honor those who did remarkably good stuff with data, to shame those who did remarkably bad stuff with data, and to acknowledge the key numbers that help describe what went down over the past year.More | Talk | Read It Later | Share