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Bookmark or Share- Is The Electoral Map Changing? | FiveThirtyEightSwing states that moved sharply to the right in 2016 How much more Republican- or Democratic-leaning a state’s popular vote was than the national popular vote in presidential elections, and how the state is forecasted to vote in 2020, as of Aug. 25 80% of outcomes fall in this range in our 2020 forecast AVERAGE PARTISAN LEAN. Iowa.
- Biden Calls China ‘Xenophobic,’ Ramping Up 2024 Campaign RhetoricPresident Joe Biden called China “xenophobic” while highlighting the Asian nation’s economic woes, as he sought to make the case for US economic strength during a campaign stop in the swing ...
- What Would It Take To Flip States In The 2024 ElectionThe initial estimates in the Swing-O-Matic’s starting scenario reflect our best guess at the Electoral College and popular vote outcomes we would see in 2024 if every voter matches their predicted behavior from the 2020 election, accounting for changes in each state’s demographics and population, and the number of electoral votes awarded to ...
- What are the current swing states, and how have they changed ... - USAFactsSwing states also tend to be better predictors of the overall election winner. While Florida was famously the deciding state in the 2000 election, several others have also been reliable bellwethers of overall election results. Over the past nine elections, Nevada and Ohio have been predictive of the overall election result eight times. ...
- How The 2020 Election Changed The Electoral Map | FiveThirtyEightThis was certainly true in 2020, as Joe Biden edged out President Trump thanks to narrow victories in key swing states such as Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — all states Trump carried in 2016. However, it wasn’t a uniform swing. The size and scope of these shifts varied, and many may not be lasting.
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