The Problem With Cbo Projections

Eighteen people were indicted in Arizona yesterday over the “fake elector” scheme Donald Trump’s allies pushed after the 2020 election — including the 11 who served as fake electors. The other seven people were Trump advisers. .memberful-global-teaser-content p:last-child{ -webkit-mask-image: linear-gradient(180deg, #000 0%, transparent); mask-image: linear-gradient(180deg, #000 0%, transparent); } Join now to continue reading. Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising.

“President Joe Biden’s reelection campaign is making a new digital ad buy in Pennsylvania aimed specifically at targeting Nikki Haley supporters, marking the latest sign of the Biden team’s growing efforts to try to woo would-be Republican voters who find Donald Trump unacceptable,” CNN reports. “The decision to direct additional resources – which the officials described as part of a “mid-six figures” ad buy – toward courting Haley backers in Pennsylvania was prompted by the state’s Republican primary contest on Tuesday… More than 157,000 GOP primary voters backed the former South Carolina governor over Trump in Pennsylvania’s closed primary, despite the fact that Haley had dropped out of the presidential race over a month ago.”

“Prosecutors on Thursday accused former President Donald Trump of violating a gag order four additional times, saying that he continues to defy the judge’s directions not to attack witnesses, prosecutors and jurors in his hush-money trial,” the New York Times reports.

ABC News: “In interviews with investigators last year, former aides and national security officials who were close to Trump in the White House described a president who could erupt in anger when presented with intelligence he didn’t want to hear, who routinely reviewed and stored classified information in unsecured locations, and who had what some former officials described as ‘a cavalier attitude’ toward the damage that could be done by its disclosure.”

FiveThirtyEight launched interactive polling averages for the 2024 presidential general election. They currently show incumbent Joe Biden and Donald Trump essentially tied in national polls and Trump with a tenuous lead in key swing states. Key takeaway: “But there’s considerable uncertainty in those numbers. To communicate this, we are also publishing uncertainty intervals for our horse-race averages for the first time.

A new University of North Florida poll in Florida finds Donald Trump leading Joe Biden, 47% to 45% among likely voters. About 4% said another candidate, 2% said they do not plan on voting, and 3% said they do not know, or refused to answer.