Whatever chance Alison Lundergan Grimes has of ousting Mitch McConnell in Kentucky probably turns on just how badly disliked the Senate Minority Leader remains within the state. As Aaron Blake has observed, the McConnell camp has bet it all on tying Grimes to Obama — who is even less popular than McConnell is — but if Grimes can make the election about the guy who is actually on the ballot, she just might be able to prevail.