Customers toast on the Eataly Flatiron Rooftop in New York City on April 15, 2021. Taylor Hill/Getty Images A new model suggests the US's COVID-19 cases and deaths aren't likely to climb higher between now and March. That means the US could expect a much rosier national picture this fall and winter. But hospitals might still be strained in states with cold climates or low vaccination rates. See more stories on Insider's business page. The pandemic has thrown its share of curveballs, but a new model suggests that US COVID-19 cases aren't likely to climb any higher for the foreseeable future, and COVID-19 deaths should steadily decline.That means, nationally speaking, the US could expect a much rosier picture this fall and winter.A model from the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub, a consortium of researchers across the US, indicates that cases could plummet from their current average - around 127,000 per day - to roughly 9,000 daily cases by mid-March.

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