Investors may not be able to count on a once-reliable economic warning bell to ring before the next recession. Ultralow yields on short-term bonds may prevent the yield curve from inverting even if the economy is about to contract.

Topics:  recession   warning   yield curve   
BING NEWS:
  • US banks' profit picture less clear with cloudy rates trajectory
    The uncertain trajectory of interest rates is making it hard for U.S. banks to forecast profits and leading some to adopt a cautious stance for the remainder of the year.
    04/12/2024 - 10:01 am | View Link
  • These 5 recession indicators have escaped the danger zone after flashing economic red flags
    From the Leading Economic Indicator Index to the inverted yield curve, NDR highlighted five recessionary signals that should no longer be the cause of concern for investors. "The reversal of these ...
    04/12/2024 - 6:11 am | View Link
  • Fixed Income: No Time To Yield
    Bond yields are higher today than they were 20 years ago. With inflation indicators falling around the globe, the time of elevated cash rates may be drawn to a close. Click to read.
    04/9/2024 - 7:26 am | View Link
  • The inverted yield curve and the Leading Economic Index have failed as recession predictors
    In recent years, we’ve learned this is true of two of the most popular and historically consistent recession indicators: the yield curve and the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index.
    03/24/2024 - 1:00 am | View Link
  • Will This Be the Shortest Bull Market on Record? These 2 Recession Indicators Point to Yes.
    If you follow the stock market, you've probably heard about the inversion of the yield curve. This happens when long-term bond interest rates are lower than short-term ones. Typically, interest ...
    03/23/2024 - 1:00 pm | View Link
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