Comment on The US is worried about an invasion, but China could take control of Taiwan without firing a shot, war experts warn

The US is worried about an invasion, but China could take control of Taiwan without firing a shot, war experts warn

The Taiwan M109 speed boats maneuver on the sea during a military drill on January 31, 2024 in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.Annabelle Chih/Getty ImagesThe US and its allies are focused on preventing a Chinese invasion of Taiwan. A new report argues there's a lack of readiness for other ways China could take control of Taiwan.An aggressive Chinese coercion campaign is far more likely than an invasion and already happening, experts warn.With the US and its allies focused on what a Chinese invasion of Taiwan could look like, and how American forces could defend Taiwan if necessary, they're missing a glaring alternative strategy China could employ to capture Taiwan, a new report argues.Defense experts say that an aggressive Chinese coercion campaign, short of war but still threatening, is more likely than a full-scale invasion and the US needs to prepare for such an event.A new report co-authored by war experts from the American Enterprise Institute and the Institute for the Study of War explores a scenario where China undergoes a "coercion campaign that remains far short of invasion but nevertheless brings Taiwan under Beijing's control," identifying such an event as a "significant gap in US strategic thought."Elements of such a campaign are already underway and include China's military exercises both in the Taiwan Strait and around the island, which are growing in scale and raising worries about escalation.

 

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