Tropical Storm Erika is projected to shift a bit to the west before it makes landfall in South Florida either late Sunday or early Monday. The system is no longer projected to be a hurricane when it reaches Florida, but rather a tropical storm with top winds of 50 mph. The storm is projected to move up the middle of the state and make a gentle curve toward the northeast. South Florida residents can expect to see tropical storm conditions — including heavy rain and gusts of wind — starting…