Comment on The recession alphabet: How analysts are using letters to project the economy's recovery from coronavirus

bwinck@businessinsider.com (Ben Winck), Business Insider
Sun, 03/29/2020 - 8:40am

The recession alphabet: How analysts are using letters to project the economy's recovery from coronavirus

Fabian Strauch/picture alliance/Getty Images Economists say the US economy is either entering a recession or already in one, but the way it rebounds could take several forms. Experts have turned to the alphabet to describe how GDP, company profits, and stock prices could return to higher levels or stay mired in virus-induced lows. A V- or U-shaped recovery relies on effective containment of the outbreak and ample stimulus from the government and the Federal Reserve, Seema Shah, chief strategist at Principal Global Investors, said. A W-shaped trend would usher in bumpy, two-staged resurgence, Jack Janasiewicz, portfolio strategist at Natixis Investment Managers Solutions, said. An L- or I-shaped downturn projects a grimmer future, as economic activity fails to rebound and endures continuous shocks from a lasting coronavirus pandemic, he added. Visit the Business Insider homepage for more stories. For a slump driven by supply chain disruptions, corporate credit scares, and a shock to consumer demand, a trend to recovery could look as simple as ABC. Analysts following the coronavirus pandemic have frequently turned to the alphabet when describing how they see the US economy bouncing back from a likely recession.

 

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