How predictive are late September polls to the actual outcome of a presidential race? A close look at poll numbers going back to 1936 reveals some strong themes.

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BING NEWS:
  • Michigan is important swing state for Biden, Trump in 2024 presidential election
    The presidential candidates can't seem to stay out of Michigan. The Electoral College map and a host of circumstances explain why.
    05/6/2024 - 1:13 am | View Link
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    05/5/2024 - 9:53 am | View Link
  • An expensive, personal, very close presidential race careens toward an uncertain end
    Here’s where the race for president stands six months from Election Day — in the polls, on the balance sheet, in key battlegrounds and more.
    05/5/2024 - 2:07 am | View Link
  • AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Indiana’s presidential and state primaries
    The race for the White House tops the ballot Tuesday in Indiana’s presidential and state primaries. But voters will also have to settle more competitive contests for governor, Congress and the state ...
    05/3/2024 - 12:09 am | View Link
  • Our Long National RCP Nightmare Is Over
    For most of this election season so far, FiveThirtyEight hasn’t surfaced its own presidential race average. Compiling these averages ...
    04/25/2024 - 5:09 am | View Link
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