[Note: this  is a work in progress. I'm basically seeking comment as I develop a November predictive model. Please give your feedback... -Sam]IÂve been asked why the PEC Senate poll snapshot is more favorable to Democrats than forecasts youÂll find elsewhere: NYTÂs The Upshot, Washington PostÂs The Monkey Cage, ESPNÂs FiveThirtyEight, and Daily Kos.