Plenty of people who don’t follow bond market news heard about the time in March when a closely watched part of the yield curve inverted. That’s because such inversions -- instances when interest rates were higher for short-term loans than longer-term debt -- are rare. They’ve also generally presaged recession, which is why the news rocked the markets for a while.
Similar Stories to Yield Curve Blurry? Try Out These Slowdown Predictors on Bing News
Business, Washington Post: Business
Sun, 04/21/2019 - 2:05am
BING NEWS:
- The Vaunted Yield Curve Recession Predictor Doesn’t Look So Prescient Now
For decades, extended inversions of the yield curve — when yields on short-term Treasurys surpassed those of long-term ones — have been considered harbingers of recessions. Now, it might seem like a ...
04/30/2024 - 10:59 pm | View Link - The yield curve has been inverted for 18 months without a downturn
The inverted yield curve has predicted every recession since 1955, and this time won't be different, Paul Dietrich said.
04/23/2024 - 2:12 am | View Link - MC Explains: At 542 days, US 10-yr/ 3-month yield-curve inverted for the longest time ever. What does it mean?
The US yield curve that plots three-month and 10-year yields has seen the longest inversion in history Sharing this on microblogging platform X, Charlie Bilello, chief market strategist at a ...
04/22/2024 - 7:05 am | View Link - Expect More Chaos if the Fed Can’t Fix the Yield Curve
However, there’s one important record that hasn’t been talked about much: The 2-year and 10-year Treasury yield curve has now been inverted for more than 628 days (it inverted in early July 2022).
04/10/2024 - 8:29 am | View Link - Yield Curve Continues To Warn Of Coming Recession
That’s the highest estimate since the early 1980s, when a recession hit, and recessions have followed far lower levels of yield curve inversion. The model has a robust track record in calling ...
08/10/2023 - 8:17 am | View Link - More
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