In recent months we have heard much about President Biden’s low poll numbers and Americans’ negative views of the economy. It is therefore not surprising that numerous media pundits have rushed to entertain the idea of a Trump victory in 2024. [time-brightcove not-tgx=”true”] Let’s first start with some obvious caveats to keep in mind. First, a substantial amount of Biden’s lagging approval is coming from his own party: since 2022, between 15 and 22 percent of Democrats have neglected to voice approval for Biden.