What you want to watch is the momentum as we draw closer to the election, because the candidates who are gaining almost invariably win. Me, I lean heavily on one other historical electoral indicator: When ordinary people bring up politics, it's gonna be a change year -- and last week, my haircutter was talking about getting her entire family out to vote: Election Lab puts Democrats' chances of retaining their majority at 51 percent — a huge change from even a few months ago, when the model predicted that Republicans had a better than 80 percent chance of winning the six seats they need to take control.

BING NEWS:
  • Why Republicans are likely to win the Senate this year
    In this year’s battle for the Senate, it appears even flawed Republican candidates likely won’t be able to stop their side from winning control of the chamber.
    05/18/2024 - 8:01 am | View Link
  • Senate GOP looks to Trump to keep hold of House majority
    Senate Republicans believe the party’s chances of retaining its slim House majority will sink or swim with former President Trump in November as Democrats remain cautiously bullish of winning back ...
    05/18/2024 - 5:00 am | View Link
  • Democrats Hold Leads in 4 Crucial Races That Could Decide Senate Control
    New battleground state polls by The New York Times, Siena College and The Philadelphia Inquirer show Democrats ahead in Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and running well ahead of the ...
    05/13/2024 - 10:18 am | View Link
  • Hospitals, legislators reach deal on state review board
    State hospitals and legislators have reached a deal that will see a bill that would set up a state board to review hospital budgets become law.
    05/13/2024 - 7:08 am | View Link
  • Conservative Senate firebrand is number one target of Dems: 'They're coming after me'
    Republican Sen. Ted Cruz says he sees it as a "badge of honor" that Democrats are "trying to take me out" as he runs for a third six-year term representing Texas in the Senate. But as he faces ...
    05/12/2024 - 9:00 pm | View Link
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