You don’t question the outlay at this point, not when the investments by Pat Riley and Andy Elisburg of Micky Arison’s wealth turned into a ticket to the Eastern Conference finals and with a win on Sunday a trip to the NBA Finals. The math worked, with the Miami Heat’s ledger producing a memorable regular season and the exhilarating playoff run. But much like the crypto markets that led to a new name for the Heat’s arena, there continually is a volatility in perceived value of assets, something apparent this season with the contract of Duncan Robinson in one direction and of Max Strus in the other. So if these all were one-year contracts, each allowed to be evaluated solely on productivity this season and expected value, how exactly do the Heat’s books set up going forward? To that end, assistance was solicited from Bobby Marks, the former Brooklyn Nets executive and current ESPN analyst who also has an affiliation with profix.ai, a sports probability platform. As Heat-Celtics headed to Sunday’s Game 7 showdown at FTX Arena, Marks was asked by the South Florida Sun Sentinel to project the 2022-23 salary value for 12 prime Heat roster components, with most already under contract. Victor Oladipo: Marks estimated Oladipo’s value for 2022-23 at the $10.3 million mid-level exception, after Oladipo played for the $1.7 million (cap hit) minimum this season. Because the Heat have Oladipo’s Bird Rights, they could offer such a salary for 2022-23 without utilizing an exception. The question would be whether they would bid that high, or whether Oladipo would see the mid-level as too low after the work put in to get back into the game and back on the market.

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