Daily Kos Elections recently completed calculating the 2016 presidential election results by congressional district. With ticket-splitting rates at historic lows, and presidential results highly correlated with congressional results, these numbers serve as a strong predictor of future House election outcomes. Accordingly, the districts that saw Hillary Clinton’s margin improve the most compared to Barack Obama’s 2012 margin could point toward future trends in House races.

BING NEWS:
  • The 2024 Battleground Counties: Douglas County, Nebraska
    Democrats could win the 2nd Congressional District in a state that’s solidly Republican, earning them a potentially critical electoral vote.
    04/22/2024 - 3:39 am | View Link
  • More

 

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